This alert expired on 15 June 2026 at 01:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 6th strongest of the 73 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 14 at 8:48PM EDT until June 14 at 9:30PM EDT by NWS State College PA
An estimated 113,318 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- July 19, 2026 · score 43 · 6.3 km
- July 28, 2026 · score 43 · 7.3 km
- July 5, 2026 · score 63 · 9.7 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 40.2716, -77.0877 |
| Nearest City | Carlisle (12 km) |
| Population Exposed | 113.3K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-15T00:48:00.000Z |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Lancaster, PA; York, PA; Dorchester, MD; Somerset, MD; Wicomico, MD; Worcester, MD; Carbon, PA; Monroe, PA and 7 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 14 at 8:48PM EDT until June 14 at 9:30PM EDT by NWS State College PA |
| Expires | 2026-06-14T21:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS State College PA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 10 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4051ff2b8a0c2e5f40123a0125c0ba5b85c443dc.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bf9ef66dfa988bda98d62a3161e8e033b852bcfd.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c40705045948447267b1fdaf4b99a440c776896d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.54af2c7f91cdbdd6e217ab94f3924ad93568a184.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7cad878b25afdb1a6f1f70911df4360c070e013a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8432877dc46d75ec0d7667c10d20f558877887f5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.502b900e17fe0c0e332ac8d52c7032e6d50995f5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f3b23dfa6d9cc0ec95ae230062f5c888d2e0f2be.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6fed67b61bfd978470d9a2c3b4b7164ddcf69dc0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6f4f600fa558e8d9d32a712d29d57eb343a5e780.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Carlisle (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 194 scientific monitoring sources.